NHC Tuesday 8AM: Shower and Thunderstorm Activity Becomes More Limited; Scattered to Moderate Convection
Florida - Tuesday August 9, 2022: The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to watch a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic. While some gradual development of this system is still possible over the next couple of days, environmental conditions are forecast to become less favorable by this weekend.
As of 8AM Tuesday August 9th, the NHC reported that the wave was located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. It extends along a line from 25W or 26W, and from 4N to 18N, It was moving W at 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 8N to 15N, and between 22W and 30W.
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with this wave had become more limited. The potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 5 days has been lowered from 40% on Monday to 30% Tuesday.
Gradual development of this system is still possible and a tropical depression could form around the middle to latter portion of the week.
This system is expected to continue moving west to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.