Rain chances will be on the rise again across the northern third of Florida to start the week, followed by an uptick in showers and thunderstorms across Central and South Florida by the end of the week. Sightly drier air kept most locations near the I-10 corridor rain-free over the weekend, but an approaching front will help to pull in tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean by Tuesday. Additionally, the circulation around a high pressure system in the central Gulf of Mexico will help to funnel this moisture into north and central parts of the state. Showers will begin to develop each day along the Gulf Coast in the morning hours, with downpours and thunderstorms progressing inland across the Florida Panhandle and towards the East Coast in the afternoon and evening. The drier air that was present over North Florida will move into central and southern portions of the state through Wednesday. This will limit afternoon thunderstorms to inland areas, where sea breezes are expected to develop and interact. However, a shift in the wind pattern is expected to arrive Thursday as a tropical wave moves into the region from the Bahamas. The wave will be carrying deeper tropical moisture with it, which will bring the potential for more widespread rain and some heavier downpours by the end of the week for most locations near and south of the I-4 corridor. Even though there will be waves of tropical moisture moving across portions of the state at various times this week, no tropical development is expected across the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean Sea. There have been six named storms so far this season, which is the earliest of such occurrence on record.
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