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NOAA Trims Hurricane Season Outlook, But Still Predicts It'll Be Busier Than Normal

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Collage depicts hurricane storm surge, Acting NOAA National Hurricane Center Director Jamie Rhome presenting a forecast, evacuation route sign and Hurricane Hunter pilot flying into a storm. (NOAA)

Florida - Thursday August 4, 2022: NOAA forecasters have decreased the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60%, a slight decrease from the 65% chance they forecast in the outlook they issued in May.

In addition, NOAA now says that the likelihood of near-normal activity has risen to 30%, while the chances remain at 10% for a below-normal season.

However, in their annual mid-season update issued Thursday NOAA meteorologists said that, overall, the atmospheric and oceanic conditions still favor an above-normal 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.

So far, the season has seen three named storms and no hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin.

“We’re just getting into the peak months of August through October for hurricane development, and we anticipate that more storms are on the way,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad, Ph.D. “NOAA stands ready to deliver timely and accurate forecasts and warnings to help communities prepare in advance of approaching storms.”

The Climate Prediction Center is a division of the National Weather Service. You can read their mid-season Update HERE.

“I urge everyone to remain vigilant as we enter the peak months of hurricane season,” said Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo. “The experts at NOAA will continue to provide the science, data and services needed to help communities become hurricane resilient and climate-ready for the remainder of hurricane season and beyond.”

“We’re just getting into the peak months of August through October for hurricane development, and we anticipate that more storms are on the way,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad, Ph.D. “NOAA stands ready to deliver timely and accurate forecasts and warnings to help communities prepare in advance of approaching storms.”

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NOAA
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