Tropical Storm Fiona Could Track North After Weakening Over Hispaniola Sunday
Florida - Thursday September 15, 2022: Forecast models for Tropical Storm Fiona tend to show that the storm may turn north after weakening over Hispaniola on Sunday.
The National Weather Service track shows a north-west track by Monday. The Navy's Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center (FNMOC) foresees a sharper turn to the north, and AccuWeather also predicts a turn to the north, and bluntly states that a U.S. landfall is "extremely unlikely."
As of Thursday afternoon Fiona was still headed west at 14 mph towards the Leeward Islands with winds speeds still at 50 mph. Some slight strengthening is possible with Fiona during the next few days.
Fiona will move westward with a slight decrease in forward speed through late Saturday, then turn toward the west-northwest on Sunday.
This will bring Fiona across the northern Leeward Islands late Friday night and early Saturday, near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico late Saturday into Sunday, and then near eastern Hispaniola on Monday.
Fiona is expected to produce heavy rainfall that could lead to flash and urban flooding, along with isolated mudslides in higher terrains across the aforementioned locations.
Swells generated by Fiona are expected to begin affecting the northern Leeward Islands by early Friday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.