Florida - Wednesday October 12, 2022: Thunderstorms triggered by the remnants of Hurricane Julia have developed into a new named storm, Tropical Storm Karl.
Florida Public Radio Emergency Network Meteorologist Megan Borowski reports that Karl is over the Bay of Campeche near the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and the Yucatan peninsula. It is forecasted to remain in that general area and produce heavy rainfall and flash flooding along Mexico’s southeastern coast. "Karl poses no direct threats to the U.S.," she said.
The National Hurricane Center says "Karl will remain over the southwest Gulf as a tropical storm through Friday," and then "weaken to a remnant low Saturday morning, then dissipate by late Saturday into early Sunday over southern Mexico. "
However, Megan says upper level energy from the storm may interact with a cold front approaching Florida from the northwest and that could produce showers and storms across north and central Florida through Thursday.
National Hurricane Center
As of 8 AM Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Karl was about 170 miles east northeast of Tuxpan, Mexico.
Karl was moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph and this motion is expected to continue through Wednesday.
A slow drift to the west and west-southwest is expected to begin coupled with a faster motion toward the south-southwest by Thursday morning.
On the forecast track, Karl will be approaching the coast of Mexico within the watch area by Thursday night.
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft support maximum sustained winds of 45 mph with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected for the next day or so, followed by gradual weakening on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 millibars or 29.64 inches.
Karl will remain over the southwest Gulf through Friday as a tropical storm, weaken to a remnant low Saturday morning, then dissipate by late Saturday into early Sunday over southern Mexico.
